Thursday, October 9, 2014

For All The Lurid Headlines: Coup In North Korea Get real

With all the speculation concerning the whereabouts of North Korean leader Kim-Jong un does anyone really believe there's been some kind of coup?  Have you seen tanks on the streets of Pyongyang or any credible that a coup has taken place?

Yes, Kim-Jong un has not been seen  in public for more than a month that doesn't mean other factors aren't involved like his health.  Kim isn't very tall yet he's clearly overweight and in his last public appearance showed a noticeable limp.  North Korea's propaganda machine strives to show Kim in the most favorable light to protect his and his families image.

All speculation aside assessing what is happening among North Korea's ruling elite is difficult however had Kim-Jong un been removed as the countries leader wouldn't there have been an announcement by now? Their secretive not that secretive.   


The most likely explanation for his absence is prolonged treatment for a painful leg condition, possibly gout, said Jiro Ishimaru of Asia Press, an Osaka-based organisation with a network of high-level contacts in North Korea.
“If he doesn’t show up tomorrow then something is definitely wrong, but it’s impossible to say if the problem is physical or political,” Ishimaru said. “It’s safe to say at this point that the rumours of a coup d’état that began a couple of weeks ago are nonsense.”
Ishimaru said he and his colleagues had been talking daily to sources inside North Korea with connections to the regime, as well as to North Korean businessmen in China, and none had reported anything untoward in the North’s political arrangements.
“The most sensible theory is that he has something wrong with his leg and is staying out of the public eye while he receives treatment,” Ishimaru said.
He also dismissed reports that political instability in North Korea had prompted a lockdown in Pyongyang. “People are able to leave, but it’s true that ordinary North Koreans are not allowed to enter the capital,” he said. “But this is always the case ahead of the anniversary event for the ruling party, because it is viewed as such an important occasion.”




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